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I think for the hobby to succeed there will ultimately be a shift to modern contemporary RRing. Kids today who by the way ride many more passenger trains than kids did in the past, even though the rides may be shorter trips on trains such as Seattle's Sounder and Vancouver's West Coast Express, will be more interested in modelling what they see now rather than being obsessed with steam. I'm not saying they won't like steam, it won't be in their consciousness; just like I had to teach my son how to use a rotary phone and I won't repeat what he said after he used one....lol..
Ok nuff said, I did vote for transition only because there was no category for turn of the century thru 1920's. Nate Goodman (Nato).
I model 1881- 1890 which means I scratch build most of my rolling stock. Thank goodness for the Atlas 4-4-0!
I'm 45 and the closest thing to mainline steam I have ever experienced was a ride behind the Chessie Steam Special when I was 9 yet I could care less about modern railroading. I really don't believe the old "you model what you grow up with" axiom.