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Well, lets start with what you already know. What paints do you already have that don't match, then we won't repeat
Do you know the color temperature of your layout room lighting? For blues, color temp of the light makes a lot of difference. The photo is taken on a bright sunny day, so likely that's about as "blue" as it ever looked.
One other possibility I have for you is MM Dark Blue. That is based on holding a swatch painted on styrene up your photo up on my screen. But given that your Tamiya blue is still available, I would probably go with that if I were you, if only because you will be able to find more if you decide to do another loco in the same color 5 years from now.(Sorry it took so long to get back on this- I did swatches on styrene 5 or 6 years ago trying to match L&N dark blue used on their passenger cars. For reasons I can't explain, that swatch card ended up in a parts box instead of the paint box. Found it yesterday.)
I've only recently discovered how easy the Tamiya colors convert to useful railroad colors. For example, that Tamiya Blue works really well as a brighter color or a darker color, just based on a white, gray, or black undercoat. And the level of top coat thickness. And the rattle cans go on soooo smoooth.
White, I would say, but why not try your hands on fading using Zinc White oil paint? Like the gentleman in the video below is doing. I have done once myself. It was a bit scary at first but as he explains the method is quite forgiving and gives you a lot of control.Great bridge build by the way!